Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008638 0.010171 0.012014 0.014432 0.017574 0.021602 0.027301
2025-08-31 0.006756 0.008590 0.011059 0.014754 0.020390 0.029144 0.044927
2025-09-07 0.005546 0.007381 0.010026 0.014337 0.021682 0.034862 0.064021
2025-09-14 0.004704 0.006462 0.009122 0.013737 0.022304 0.039621 0.085786
2025-09-21 0.004204 0.005940 0.008683 0.013727 0.023896 0.047119 0.123578
2025-09-28 0.003924 0.005699 0.008629 0.014351 0.026957 0.060064 0.203275
2025-10-05 0.003787 0.005660 0.008897 0.015640 0.032070 0.083275 0.411737
2025-10-12 0.003570 0.005450 0.008815 0.016191 0.035705 0.106473 0.802083
2025-10-19 0.003293 0.005100 0.008414 0.015939 0.037074 0.123264 1.393325
2025-10-26 0.003096 0.004870 0.008204 0.016073 0.039704 0.150511 3.164550
2025-11-02 0.002882 0.004585 0.007846 0.015771 0.040828 0.172653 7.265037
2025-11-09 0.002632 0.004210 0.007259 0.014775 0.039163 0.175414 11.809604
2025-11-16 0.002408 0.003882 0.006769 0.014036 0.038551 0.188952 34.368728
2025-11-23 0.002293 0.003751 0.006681 0.014355 0.042293 0.251003 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002137 0.003526 0.006357 0.013953 0.042930 0.289653 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001985 0.003296 0.005998 0.013376 0.042532 0.318223 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001888 0.003166 0.005844 0.013366 0.044845 0.401930 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001839 0.003126 0.005888 0.013967 0.050799 0.617561 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001827 0.003160 0.006110 0.015208 0.061867 1.255321 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001775 0.003107 0.006115 0.015738 0.069498 2.252999 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001691 0.002977 0.005915 0.015495 0.071585 3.151121 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001630 0.002894 0.005821 0.015625 0.076905 5.642097 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001556 0.002776 0.005627 0.015334 0.078577 8.546483 NaN